A reality based independent journal of observation & analysis, serving the Flathead Valley & Montana since 2006. © James Conner.

22 June 2015

Dan Happel’s narrow vision for Montana’s Republican Party

Update. I recommend Ed Berry’s take on Happel, published today.

A big political tent always shelters factions that are not completely at ease with each other, that do not march in lockstep on every issue. Montana’s Republicans won 59–41 and 29–21 majorities in Montana’s House and Senate 2014, but lost important votes in the 2015 legislative session when a minority of their colleagues formed winning coalitions with Democratic legislators.

More than a few Republicans, Dan Happel among them, want to replace those coalition susceptible legislators with men and women more resistant to compromise. Happel, who seeks the party’s chairmanship, wrote in yesterday’s Daily InterLake, that:

We now have a conservative Republican base that is being held hostage by a handful of folks that do not believe in our conservative values or our platform. They get elected as Republicans irrespective their actual beliefs because of cross-over voters during the primary elections, then hand political victory to the Democrats and governor on the most important issues.

Crossover voting does occur, but it doesn’t always make a difference. Moreover, finding proof of Democratic crossover voting that would satisfy a political scientist, and proof that that the Democratic crossovers changed the outcome of an election, is difficult. I’ve been able to identify several primary elections in which Democratic crossover voting probably occurred, but only one in which I’m reasonably confident that it changed the outcome.

But proof or not, many Republican leaders believe that conservative Republican candidates are victims of Democrats crossing over in our open primary. Their remedy, part of the party’s platform:

The members of the Montana Republican Party have the right to freely associate as guaranteed by the US and Montana constitutions. Therefore it is the position of the Montana Republican Party that the voters that select candidates to appear on the general election ballot should be limited to members of the Republican Party who have registered themselves as members of the party if a primary election process is used, or by state or local conventions of the party if a primary election system is not used.

Montana’s Republicans decided to seek a closed primary through a lawsuit in federal court, not through a bill in the Montana Legislature.

Happel says “…our focus to strengthen the Republican message should be based on our mission statement: The state platform.”

That platform contains some interesting planks. Among them:

Fealty to the platform required voting against all bills that accepted any federal money for expanding Medicaid in Montana. Yet enough Republicans voted for Sen. Ed Buttrey’s (R-Great Falls) SB-405 that it became law. Did they do that because they shamelessly embraced socialism despite their party’s call for “personal responsibility” (translation: you’re on your own)? Or, was there another reason?

There was another reason. Montana’s hospitals and health insurance companies wanted the money. A federal program that partially compensated hospitals for charity care was expiring, and health insurance companies may have been losing money. SB-405 is best understood not as an expansion of Medicaid, but as a scheme to use the money for expanded Medicaid to help the hospitals and bail out the insurance companies. That more Republicans didn’t vote to help hospitals and insurers tells us how far the tea party faction has ventured into Cloud Cuckoo Land on health care.

Finally, Happel’s promise to work hard if chosen to chair his party probably will not be welcomed by the party’s paid staff:

The task is too large and the goals too important to look at as a part-time position that can be accomplished without a full-time dedication that understands the urgency of the times we live in. I will dedicate the 40 to 60 hours per week necessary to move our Montana GOP in the direction needed to assure success.

In other words, “Move over, Mr. Executive Director. I’m from Pony, I’m in the saddle, and I’m running this here show.”

Should be an interesting state GOP convention in Helena this weekend.