5 June 2018 — 1039 mdt
Will there be above average turnout for Montana’s 2018 primary?
Montana State University political scientist David Parker thinks so:
So, yes, the mean from 1986 on is 35 percent. I think the 52 percent estimate is at the high end, but I *think* this will be higher than the mean from what I can tell.
— David C.W. Parker (@dparkermontana) June 5, 2018
Given the interest in the GOP primary for the U.S. Senate, and the Democratic primary for the U.S. House, turnout could be higher than usual. A registered voter turnout of 45 percent would not surprise me. Here are the numbers as of 2245 MDT yesterday:
