4 November 2018 — 0438 mst
Latest NRF poll puts Tester up eight points
The latest NRF tracking poll, conducted by robocalls, show Sen. Jon Tester leading Matt Rosendale by eight points. FiveThirtyEight has changed its reporting of these polls, and I’ve changed my plots accordingly.
There are no new polls for the Williams versus Gianforte U.S. House election. The last poll, by Gravis, reported a 48–48 percent tie.
Democrats can take some comfort from the NFR poll, but they should not take so much comfort that they skip voting. Elections sometimes are closer than the polls predict.
