21 October 2018 — 1022 mdt
Trump’s net approval in Montana remains above water
Nationwide, President Trump’s net approval rating is approximately ten points underwater, but in Montana his net approval remains positive in the low to mid-single digits range. That augurs well for Matt Rosendale and Greg Gianforte, but serves as a headwind for Jon Tester and Kathleen Williams.
Here are the monthly averages for Montana and the United States for registered voters. The Montana data are from Morning Consult. The national data are from Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight.com.
Trump’s net approval rating has salience for Matt Rosendale and Greg Gianforte. To the extent they, with the help of the Republican Party and third party organizations on the right, can make the election a referendum on Trump, they improve their chances of winning.