28 January 2020 — 1745 mst
Good news for Daines & GG
Montanans still like Trump, still oppose
booting him from the White House
This morning I downloaded the 26 January state-by-state Trump job approval and support for impeachment data from www.civiqs.com. Trump’s net approval is still seven points above water, while support for impeaching him (he’s impeached, so Civiqs probably is measuring support for convicting him) is 11 points underwater.
After compiling the table below, I plotted support for impeachment (removal) as a function of Trump’s job approval. Not surprisingly, support for removal is inversely related to job approval.
Support for impeachment-removal reaches the two-thirds level in only five states — Hawaii, California, Vermont, Massachusetts, and Maryland — all with Democratic senators. Nationally, 52 percent support impeachment-removal, and 44 percent approve of Trump’s job performance.
Although there’s always the possibility that the U.S. Senate will call witnesses who put a smoking gun in Trump’s hand, forcing enough Republican senators to agree that Trump committed high crimes and misdemeanors that he’s removed as President and disqualified from ever again running for office again. But I wouldn’t bet the ranch on it. I wouldn’t even bet a bale of spoiled hay.
Montana’s numbers are why Steve Daines and Greg Gianforte are hugging Trump closer than their wives and children. They’re planning to ride his coattails to victory, a strategy that probably will succeed.